CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
7º
5º
18
3º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
18 | 42 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 41 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 41 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 37 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 35 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 32 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 29 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 18 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
34.5% | 80% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSH
24%
28%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
CSH
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
PFC
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
CSH
21%
27%
52%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 1
CSH
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 2
MUN
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 3
SAP
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
3 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
SAP
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 1
CSH
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |