CONCACAF League Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
CS Herediano vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CSH
4 - 2
GRE
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
SAP
1 - 0
CSH
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSH
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CSH
3 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
CSH
1 - 0
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 2
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARA
44%
29%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
DIR
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
GEM
2 - 1
CHO
36%
30%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
DIR
0 - 4
CHO
37%
26%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |