Apertura Costa Rica Final
Global 2-3
CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 1
CSH
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
CSH
1 - 1
SAP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CSH
1 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
CSH
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CSH
2 - 4
LDA
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
LDA
0 - 0
LFC
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
LFC
0 - 1
LDA
29%
26%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 1
LDA
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
LDA
2 - 1
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LDA
3 - 1
PFC
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |