Clausura Costa Rica Semi-finals
Global 4-6
CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LFC
2 - 2
CSH
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CSH
2 - 0
LFC
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
CSH
2 - 1
BFC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 1
CSH
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSH
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
LDA
1 - 0
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
PER
1 - 1
LDA
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
LDA
0 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
LDA
4 - 1
BFC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
LDA
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |