CS Herediano vs Santa Ana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
7º
4º
10
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 42 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 41 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 39 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 38 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 37 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 31 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 29 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 20 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 15 |
12º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
50% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CSH
5 - 4
MUN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
CSH
1 - 2
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
CSH
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 4
CSH
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
MUN
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |