Heredia vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 0
HER
53%
23%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HER
3 - 2
LEO
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
RET
2 - 3
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
MUN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ZAC
1 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ZAC
1 - 2
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 1
ZAC
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 0
HAL
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
4 - 0
ZAC
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |