Heredia vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 0
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 3
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SJE
1 - 0
HER
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
HAL
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
COA
2 - 0
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
5 - 0
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
VEN
39%
28%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
6 - 0
CON
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |