Heredia vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 2
HER
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
HER
4 - 1
VEN
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
IZT
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
HER
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
COA
3 - 2
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 3
CHI
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
LEO
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 0
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |