Heredia vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 2
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HER
5 - 1
HAL
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 1
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 2
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 0
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |