Heredia vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 0
HER
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
HER
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
HAL
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 0
ESC
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 0
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |