Heredia vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
RET
2 - 3
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
MUN
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 2
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
VEN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
LEO
3 - 0
DEP
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
4 - 0
ZAC
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
RET
0 - 0
LEO
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
0 - 3
MUN
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 2
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |