Heredia vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SJE
1 - 0
HER
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
UNI
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
COM
3 - 0
HER
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
IZT
0 - 0
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
HAL
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
TOR
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 2
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
VEN
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |