Heredia vs Juventud Escuintleca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 2
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
HER
2 - 0
UNI
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
DEP
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Escuintleca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 1
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
ESC
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ESC
3 - 1
DEP
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
5 - 0
ESC
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 0
LEO
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |