Heredia vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
COA
2 - 1
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 1
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
CON
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 0
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
IZT
3 - 2
HAL
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
IZT
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
IZT
1 - 1
MUN
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 2
IZT
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
IZT
3 - 2
CHI
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |