Heredia vs Halcones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
HER
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
MUN
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
HER
4 - 3
CHI
55%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
SJE
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 2
COA
70%
18%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 0
HAL
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
HAL
0 - 2
VEN
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
HAL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |