Heredia vs Halcones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 0
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
VEN
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 3
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
HER
3 - 3
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
HAL
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 1
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
HAL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 1
LEO
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |