Heredia vs Deportivo Petapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
HER
51%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
VEN
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
ZAC
61%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Petapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
VEN
2 - 2
DEP
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
DEP
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
DEP
61%
22%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |