Heredia vs Deportivo Petapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
3 - 1
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
RET
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MUN
3 - 1
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Petapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 2
DEP
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RET
1 - 1
DEP
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
MUN
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 1
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |