Heredia vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 0
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 1
HER
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
DEP
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 1
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 1
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |