Heredia vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
HER
54%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
HER
5 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
DEP
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MUN
0 - 3
COM
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
COM
3 - 0
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
HER
54%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |