Hércules vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 5
HER
16%
27%
57%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 0
HER
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
NUM
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 1
XER
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
XER
3 - 2
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
XER
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
XER
0 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HUE
2 - 1
XER
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |