Hércules vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
LLE
1 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
ORI
0 - 0
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
HER
3 - 0
LLE
54%
23%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 2
OSA
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
MAL
1 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
TRO
2 - 1
VIL
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
VIL
0 - 0
TRO
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |