Hércules vs Villarreal B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ZAR
0 - 3
HER
24%
28%
49%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
CDE
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BAD
0 - 0
HER
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
COR
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAB
1 - 1
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
CDE
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
COR
3 - 0
VIL
30%
29%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALC
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BAD
2 - 2
VIL
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
5 - 0
ONT
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |