Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-3
Hércules vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
VAD
3 - 2
HER
75%
14%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
ELC
40%
24%
37%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ELC
39%
24%
38%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
83%
10%
6%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ELD
1 - 1
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
VAD
3 - 2
HER
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
VAD
2 - 0
MEL
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
MEL
1 - 0
VAD
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VAD
2 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ATH
4 - 0
VAD
72%
17%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |