Hércules vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
DEP
2 - 0
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
HER
5 - 2
CAS
42%
22%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
MUR
2 - 1
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
HER
4 - 0
VAL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
BAD
1 - 3
HER
25%
24%
52%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
VAD
2 - 2
RCD
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
BAR
0 - 3
VAD
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
VAD
3 - 1
LEV
37%
23%
40%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
GRA
1 - 0
VAD
62%
19%
20%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
VAD
3 - 2
MLL
45%
24%
32%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |