Hércules vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
CAS
8 - 3
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
HER
0 - 2
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
HER
2 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
CAD
1 - 2
HER
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
CEL
2 - 0
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
VAD
1 - 2
CEL
35%
22%
42%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
GRA
2 - 0
VAD
69%
16%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
SDC
1 - 2
VAD
44%
21%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
VAD
5 - 0
JFC
70%
17%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |