Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
CEU
2 - 1
HER
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
HER
1 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
RJA
2 - 0
HER
28%
29%
44%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
HER
3 - 0
MLL
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
VAL
3 - 1
MLL
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
ALC
1 - 0
VAL
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
VAL
4 - 0
CAD
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
LEV
2 - 1
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 0
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |