Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1963 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
50%
23%
28%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
HER
6 - 1
CFC
72%
15%
13%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
PUL
1 - 1
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
HER
3 - 1
SFE
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1963 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAD
55%
22%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
MUR
3 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1963 |
VAL
3 - 1
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
GRA
6 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1963 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDT
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |