Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1961 |
RMA
6 - 0
HER
97%
3%
1%
|
59 | 94 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
HER
0 - 5
RMA
11%
17%
73%
|
59 | 94 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
PUL
3 - 1
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
HER
3 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SFE
3 - 1
HER
49%
25%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1961 |
VAL
0 - 1
ATM
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAL
90%
7%
3%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
VAL
9 - 3
CAD
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
LEV
3 - 1
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 0
CDT
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |