Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
ALI
0 - 1
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
HER
0 - 0
BET
74%
16%
11%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
ELD
1 - 2
HER
37%
25%
39%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ALG
5 - 1
HER
37%
25%
39%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
HER
4 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
VAL
1 - 1
MUR
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
MAL
2 - 0
VAL
69%
18%
14%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
VAL
3 - 0
EXT
68%
17%
14%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
SDC
2 - 1
VAL
65%
19%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
VAL
5 - 2
PUE
85%
10%
6%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |