Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CAR
1 - 0
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
38%
24%
39%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
BAL
2 - 0
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
HER
2 - 0
ALI
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
PUL
1 - 0
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1952 |
VAL
5 - 1
LOG
79%
12%
8%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAL
73%
15%
12%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
ALC
2 - 2
VAL
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
VAL
6 - 1
RAC
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
RCF
1 - 4
VAL
47%
23%
31%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |