Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
ALC
5 - 2
HER
56%
21%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
CAT
3 - 0
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
HER
5 - 0
GRA
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
VAL
1 - 1
HER
54%
21%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
HER
3 - 2
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
VAL
2 - 1
SLA
61%
19%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
VAL
4 - 3
MLL
55%
21%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SDC
5 - 3
VAL
49%
22%
30%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
VAL
1 - 1
HER
54%
21%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
LEV
2 - 0
VAL
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |