Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
CAR
2 - 2
HER
48%
22%
30%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
UDL
2 - 1
HER
66%
17%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
HER
2 - 2
RCD
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
MLL
4 - 2
HER
53%
21%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
HER
3 - 1
SDC
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
VAL
1 - 1
LEV
56%
20%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
ALB
0 - 1
VAL
58%
19%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1950 |
VAL
2 - 2
MEL
65%
18%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1950 |
PUL
2 - 0
VAL
67%
17%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1950 |
VAL
3 - 0
BAL
58%
20%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |