Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 2
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
RAC
73%
15%
13%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
48%
21%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
CAS
1 - 2
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
6 - 1
RCF
59%
18%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPO
47%
22%
32%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
RAC
0 - 1
VAL
73%
15%
13%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
6 - 2
VAL
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |