Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
SPO
2 - 1
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1975 |
HER
2 - 0
FCB
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
HER
1 - 1
MAL
49%
30%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
83%
12%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1975 |
HER
3 - 1
CCF
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
VCF
1 - 0
RSO
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1975 |
VCF
3 - 2
SPO
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
VCF
2 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
MAL
1 - 0
VCF
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1975 |
VCF
1 - 1
RAY
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |