Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
ATH
6 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
HER
3 - 2
ATM
21%
21%
58%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
61%
19%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
HER
0 - 0
ESP
32%
24%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
SPO
2 - 0
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
VCF
0 - 1
FCB
65%
17%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 0
VCF
50%
21%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
VCF
2 - 0
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
ATH
2 - 2
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |