Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1940 |
ATH
0 - 0
HER
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
HER
5 - 2
ATH
34%
22%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
HER
2 - 0
MAL
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
MAL
2 - 1
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
HER
3 - 3
SEV
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1940 |
RSO
4 - 4
VCF
37%
21%
41%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
RSO
78%
13%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
UES
1 - 3
VCF
21%
20%
59%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
VCF
8 - 2
UES
85%
10%
5%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 0
VCF
58%
19%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |