Hércules vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ALM
3 - 0
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
40%
29%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
VEC
0 - 1
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CDT
3 - 2
HER
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
VEC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
3 - 1
UDL
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
UDL
2 - 2
ELC
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 1
UDL
66%
20%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
PON
3 - 0
UDL
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
UDL
2 - 1
LOR
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |