Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-3
Hércules vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
LEV
1 - 0
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
HER
2 - 0
PUE
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
REC
1 - 1
HER
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
CON
2 - 2
HER
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
UDL
2 - 1
FCB
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
ATM
2 - 0
UDL
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
UDL
1 - 2
RMA
19%
24%
57%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
UDL
5 - 1
CCF
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
ATH
1 - 1
UDL
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |