Hércules vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
MEL
1 - 0
HER
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
HER
3 - 0
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1963 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
50%
23%
28%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
HER
6 - 1
CFC
72%
15%
13%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
PUL
1 - 1
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
CDT
4 - 1
CAD
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
CDT
1 - 1
MEL
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
CFC
1 - 0
CDT
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
GRA
0 - 0
CDT
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
CDT
1 - 3
LEV
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |