Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
VCF
0 - 0
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 1
HER
50%
28%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
RAC
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
REC
3 - 1
HER
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
SEV
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 2
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
REC
1 - 1
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
SPO
3 - 0
BUR
71%
17%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
ATH
1 - 1
SPO
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
SPO
3 - 1
UDL
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |