Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
RAC
6 - 5
HER
53%
21%
27%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
HER
3 - 3
GRA
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
3 - 0
HER
52%
21%
28%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
HER
5 - 3
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GIR
2 - 0
HER
24%
23%
54%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
SPO
3 - 2
VAL
81%
11%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
RCF
3 - 3
SPO
50%
21%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
RAC
3 - 2
SPO
49%
21%
31%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 0
GRA
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 0
SPO
51%
20%
30%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |