Hércules vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
DEP
3 - 1
HER
45%
22%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
HER
3 - 1
FCB
40%
22%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
HER
3 - 1
ATH
32%
24%
45%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
GRA
7 - 2
HER
33%
22%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
HER
3 - 1
RSO
61%
19%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
SEV
4 - 1
CAS
90%
7%
4%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
OVI
4 - 0
SEV
51%
21%
28%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATM
59%
19%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 1
SEV
36%
23%
41%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |