Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-5
Hércules vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1936 |
HER
4 - 2
SEV
45%
22%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
SEV
3 - 1
HER
66%
18%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
HER
2 - 2
FCB
22%
21%
57%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
RAC
4 - 2
HER
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
SEV
41%
21%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1936 |
HER
4 - 2
SEV
45%
22%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
SEV
3 - 1
HER
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ATM
2 - 3
SEV
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1936 |
SEV
2 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
SEV
41%
21%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |