Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-5
Hércules vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1936 |
SEV
3 - 1
HER
66%
18%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
HER
2 - 2
FCB
22%
21%
57%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
RAC
4 - 2
HER
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
SEV
41%
21%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
VCF
5 - 2
HER
64%
18%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1936 |
SEV
3 - 1
HER
66%
18%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ATM
2 - 3
SEV
54%
20%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1936 |
SEV
2 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
SEV
41%
21%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
SEV
1 - 0
BET
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |