Hércules vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 3
HER
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ELC
2 - 2
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HER
3 - 2
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 2
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
HER
4 - 2
UDL
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SEV
3 - 3
MUR
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ZAR
4 - 0
SEV
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SEV
2 - 2
UDL
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RSO
1 - 0
SEV
72%
20%
8%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 2
LEV
26%
28%
47%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |