Hércules vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
CDT
2 - 0
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
PUL
3 - 3
HER
57%
21%
23%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
HER
3 - 2
XER
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
SFE
2 - 1
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
HER
3 - 1
LEV
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
SDC
3 - 0
PUL
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
XER
1 - 0
SDC
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
LEV
2 - 2
SDC
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
SDC
3 - 1
CDB
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BET
0 - 1
SDC
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |