Hércules vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
PUE
0 - 2
HER
35%
24%
42%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
HER
1 - 2
GRA
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
CAD
1 - 0
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 1
HER
89%
7%
4%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
HER
1 - 2
FCB
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
SDC
2 - 0
MUR
38%
25%
36%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
MAL
3 - 0
SDC
82%
12%
7%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
SDC
4 - 0
EXT
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
SDC
5 - 0
CEU
89%
7%
4%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
UTA
1 - 1
SDC
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |