Hércules vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 3
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
HER
0 - 1
ALC
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
CUL
2 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
57%
20%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ZAR
3 - 1
HER
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 1
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
ARE
1 - 1
SDC
46%
23%
32%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 0
SDC
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
SDC
0 - 2
ALC
77%
14%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
CUL
3 - 2
SDC
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |