Hércules vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
SDC
2 - 1
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
HER
1 - 0
PUL
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
XER
4 - 0
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
HER
4 - 2
SFE
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
REC
2 - 4
PUL
52%
22%
27%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
XER
1 - 1
REC
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
REC
1 - 1
SFE
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
LEV
3 - 0
REC
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
REC
1 - 0
CDB
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |